Konapala, G., Mishra, A. K., Wada, Y., & Mann, M. E. (2020). Climate change will affect global water availability through compounding changes in seasonal precipitation and evaporation. Nature Communications, 11(1), 3044.
Abstract: Both seasonal and annual mean precipitation and evaporation influence patterns of water availability impacting society and ecosystems. Existing global climate studies rarely consider such patterns from non-parametric statistical standpoint. Here, we employ a non-parametric analysis framework to analyze seasonal hydroclimatic regimes by classifying global land regions into nine regimes using late 20th century precipitation means and seasonality. These regimes are used to assess implications for water availability due to concomitant changes in mean and seasonal precipitation and evaporation changes using CMIP5 model future climate projections. Out of 9 regimes, 4 show increased precipitation variation, while 5 show decreased evaporation variation coupled with increasing mean precipitation and evaporation. Increases in projected seasonal precipitation variation in already highly variable precipitation regimes gives rise to a pattern of “seasonally variable regimes becoming more variable”. Regimes with low seasonality in precipitation, instead, experience increased wet season precipitation.
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Adolph, G., KÜlls, C., & Willscheid, A. (2007). Determination and validation of age structures as an improved measure of hydrological dynamics. In Geophysical Research Abstracts (Vol. 9).
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Doulgeris, C., Tziritis, E., Pisinaras, V., Panagopoulos, A., & Külls, C. (2020). Prediction of seawater intrusion to coastal aquifers based on non-dimensional diagrams. In EGU Geophysical Abstracts (4073).
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Külls, C. (2001). Groundwater of the North-Western Kalahari, Namibia: estimation of recharge and quantification of the flow system. Doctoral thesis, Hydrogeologie und Umwelt, .
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Döll, P., Krol, M., Fuhr, D., Gaiser, T., Herfort, J., Höynck, S., et al. (2003). Integrated scenarios of regional development in Ceará and Piauí. In Global Change and Regional Impacts (pp. 19–41). Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg.
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Voerkelius, S., Külls, C., Santiago, M. M. F., Frischkorn, H., dos Santos Semrau, L. A., Heinrichs, G., et al. (2003). Investigations on water management and water quality in Picos/PI and Tauá/CE. In Global change and regional impacts (pp. 173–184). Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg.
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Külls, C., Leibundgut, C., Schwarz, U., & Schick, A. P. (1995). Channel infiltration study using dye tracers. IAHS Publications-Series of Proceedings and Reports-Intern Assoc Hydrological Sciences, 232, 429–436.
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Zagana, E., Külls, C., & Udluft, P. (2000). Der Wasserhaushalt des Aliakmonas. Vom Wasser, 94, 29–39.
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Külls, C., Adar, E. M., & Udluft, P. (2000). Tracer Studies and Modelling of Regional Groundwater Systems-Resolving patterns of groundwater flow by inverse hydrochemical modelling in a semiarid Kalahari basin. IAHS Publications-Series of Proceedings and Reports-Intern Assoc Hydrological Sciences, 262, 447–452.
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Klock, H., Külls, C., & Udluft, P. (2001). Quantification of Groundwater Recharge-Estimating recharge values using hydrochemical and geological data: A case study from the semiarid Kalahari catchment of northern Namibia. IAHS Publications-Series of Proceedings and Reports-Intern Assoc Hydrological Sciences, 269, 25–32.
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